Political Analyst · Expert on American Public Opinion

Carroll
Doherty

Political analyst, writer, and consultant.

Visiting Senior Fellow, German Marshall Fund
Visiting Fellow, SmartNews Media Research Institute

Washington, D.C.
About

Carroll Doherty has spent his career at the intersection of journalism and public opinion research. As longtime Director of Political Research at Pew Research Center — a role he held for more than two decades — he shaped how America's most influential fact tank understood political values, partisan polarization, and the beliefs of the American public.

Before joining Pew in 2000, Carroll was a senior writer at Congressional Quarterly covering congressional leadership, politics, and foreign affairs, and an off-air investigative reporter at CBS News. He has provided expert political analysis for NPR, CNBC, and the BBC, and has spoken to government, academic, and business groups on politics and public opinion.

Now writing and consulting independently, Carroll brings that depth of experience to every engagement — helping organizations understand the public, the political moment, and the stories that matter.

Background

Pew Research Center — Director of Political Research, 2015–2025
Congressional Quarterly — Senior Writer, politics & foreign affairs
CBS News — Off-air investigative reporter
Johns Hopkins SAIS — M.A.
Trump has always had a low ceiling, constrained by his single-digit approval among Democrats. But he also has a high floor — thanks to the steady, 80 percent-plus support he invariably receives from the GOP base.
Carroll Doherty — Politico Magazine, July 2025
Selected Writing

Writing that puts
data in context.

The Dispatch · Politics
Is the Time Finally Right for Real Immigration Reform?
Public polling indicates renewed desire for political compromise on immigration — and the landscape may be shifting after decades of failed reform efforts.
February 9, 2026
Politico Magazine
Epstein Saga May Test Trump's Polling
Analyzing how Trump's narrow approval band — constrained by a low ceiling and a high floor of GOP base support — could be tested by the Epstein firestorm and what it reveals about his political resilience.
July 22, 2025
German Marshall Fund
A Big Win For Now
Democrats made an impressive sweep of the 2025 off-year elections — but deep ideological and generational fissures loom large ahead of the 2026 midterms.
November 6, 2025
German Marshall Fund
Musk Aims to Break the Two-Party US System
There is pent-up demand for sweeping change in American politics — but history and data suggest Musk's new "America Party" faces formidable obstacles.
July 14, 2025
Pew Research Center
A Look Back at How Fear and False Beliefs Bolstered U.S. Public Support for War in Iraq
Twenty years after the invasion, a review of how the Bush administration's claims about WMD and terrorism shaped — and ultimately misled — American public opinion.
March 14, 2023
Pew Research Center
Two Decades Later, the Enduring Legacy of 9/11
How the September 11 attacks reshaped American politics, public opinion, and the nation's sense of security — examined on the 20th anniversary.
September 2, 2021
As Seen & Heard In
NPR CNBC BBC CBS News The Dispatch Pew Research Center Brookings Institution German Marshall Fund Congressional Quarterly
Speaking
01
Public Opinion Research

Survey design, data interpretation, and strategic analysis. Carroll spent over two decades leading Pew's political research — he knows what the numbers actually mean and how to act on them.

02
Political Analysis

Helping organizations, campaigns, and institutions understand the political landscape — what voters think, why it matters, and how to communicate effectively to diverse audiences.

03
Research Narrative & Writing

Translating complex data and research findings into compelling, accessible writing. Op-eds, reports, white papers, and briefings for policy, media, and public audiences.

04
Media & Speaking

Expert commentary for news organizations, panel appearances, and keynote speaking on politics, public opinion, and the state of American democracy.

Contact

Available for writing assignments, expert commentary, and speaking. Carroll reads every message personally.